Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiger of the Sea | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All in the Game | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sally’s Wish | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Turkey Bird | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Chaos | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apple Pie | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fielders Choice | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sibo | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adverse Selection | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Syntax | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Damazio | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mighty Kai | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 98 | Mystic Flyer | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Max | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Mischiefs Causeway | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McGregor Lake | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Toppers At Seaside | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Oobubbakakayo | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Palisades | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Mala | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 98 | Mischief Moments | 0.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Another Monarch | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Consigliere | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Connection | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ballyhooligan | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smiling Tizzy | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bazooka Charlie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hondo Crouch | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Three Georges | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Heat | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Umbralle | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yours Sincerely (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon and Ginger | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | South Bay | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eva Lea | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soaring Angel | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stuffy Mist | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Las Flores S.) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magnificat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thermal | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ooty (ARG) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Bad Beats | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donttellourwives | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mawu | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Margarita Girl | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Genius Jimmy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bodi Zafa | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Packs a Wahlop | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Balladeer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spycatcher | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watsonville | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Son of a Birch | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Oriente (CHI) | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Living Life | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horco Molle (CHI) | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Henry Adams (IRE) | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jensco | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Cap | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emirates Affair | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irina’s Charm | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Moonlight | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shared Future | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bolt d’Vine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Las Cienegas S.) – Las Cienegas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Egyptian Mau (SAF) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Maxima | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lizzy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosie Jeeks | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omnipontet (BRZ) | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nay V Belle | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princesa Moche (PER) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spicybug | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Antifona (FR) | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bear’s Board | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Old Timer | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trail Blaze | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kilmer | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Another Juanito | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Chaser | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmic Trail | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pick It Up | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Autism Unity | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Velvet Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surfin’ U. S. A. | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Shane’s the Brains | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Mistress | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Essential Lady | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yurak | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Darlin’ Duchess | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Reign | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zuraya (GB) | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Struck By Her (IRE) | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Princess | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Daring Pursuit | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bailarina | 6.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forced Entry | 3.50 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.