Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Come to Papa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thorsness | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noguchi | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnanimous Max | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Brown Delivers | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Barrie | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purple and Gold | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Furry Fox | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cha Cha Wren | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn’s Turn | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That’sthefactjack | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavens Lee | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Atarah | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purr Factor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Despo’s Dream | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Grace | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Dancer | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Foot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dimensionality | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raghba | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trango Tower | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laylani Lou | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lost Horizon | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Formaggio | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Airborne Elite | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Panagiotis | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leading Role | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capt Jax Parrow | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ari’s Magic | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiote | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collect From Ike | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizar’s Temper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Systemic Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Woozy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ridgewood Runner | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magnolia Midnight | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Base | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neon Bordeaux | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Analog Jones | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mad Banker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Time Yes | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smilensaycheese | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Kreesa | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo for the King | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joe West | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smallchangegeep | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toga Dan | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oath of Omerta | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.