Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 16, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carol T 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kadena 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Saucy Six 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chocolatechocolate 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Howling Wind 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Moonlight Gal 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baby Sassicaia 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sassy Princess 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Brunch With Amy 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Heavenly Light 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Big Air 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sassafrassness 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tammy’s Cruiser 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mo Attitude 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Auroralinna 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Truthorconsequence 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Syl’s Pleasure 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gretna Green 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magical Ways 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aggregation 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Exploration 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 House United 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cool Andy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cocktailsnkringle 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dreambuilder 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 So Vain 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Asking 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Golden Miracle 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kef 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Icy Legs 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hudson River Line 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pencima 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Battle Rifle 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mathea 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rock Steady Babe 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Blue Note 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Imnobodysfool 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 R U Bluffing 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Roseberns Dream 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Linarite 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dolce Sera 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Majestic Return 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Happy Valentine 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Five to Two 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Elegant 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Complicated 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Moon Gate 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Prince of Dance 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Whitby 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Wait for Me 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grand Commander 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Solo Dancing 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kavanaugh 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fever Night 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Maldini 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fiscal Drag 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.