Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Vision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regal Time | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Hot Girl | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cut N Dancer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reaux Day | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Magic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Scoot | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pop Lock and Drop | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annala | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deelitesandimsum | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weekendsandwhiskey | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smarty’s Back | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Nate | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Can Do | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downtown Motown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uninspired | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C F Jimmy Ray | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Special Star | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lewis Memorial | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Analitico | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Strong | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brandon’s Best | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Zong | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Times | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rum Center | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Selectively Sweet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Arinniti (FR) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Bright Flames | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Race | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Express | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won Bright Light | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Silk | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiff With Jimmy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss St. Claire | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patient Emilie | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chip Shortage | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kingscliff | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Magic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cardinal Cushing | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Love | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Priscilla Rose | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greystar | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bottle It | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zong’s Creed | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Orleans S.) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hillerito | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jumpin Judy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sassi Strutter | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirl Around | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Six String | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Love | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gloriette | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaely’s Sister | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Bit of That | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luyv | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eve of Eve | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldzone | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats Cadet | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taken It | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamy Deal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saberfight | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Dixie Diva | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gap Daddy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovers Never Say | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Sam’s Town S.) – Sam’s Town S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Homestead | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champlin | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Captain | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Donegal Clan | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Know How | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire of Gold | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Tower | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country Hit | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | All Honors | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weitzman | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Blood | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World Renowned | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justice for Johnny | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velocity Storm | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Orleans | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shahenshah | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Youcandoitboy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.