Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Calibrate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Write Off Jerry | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Protonic Power | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Level | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sabi | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Curahee | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liar’s Poker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Devil’s Harvest | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | National Eclipse | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solid Left | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now and Later | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Hankerin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Super Mo | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tied the Knot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Getaway | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Faith | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Ridge | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Emily | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Shane | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seamus’s Girl | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Buck | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herbs Bolt | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson Hole | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arabia Wild | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Different Gravy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colt Forty Seven | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vamos Ya | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clear as a Bele | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dapper Moon | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Time | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | F T W Slam | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Jess | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Max Got Excited | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Craken Jax | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majority Opinion | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | House Bourbon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Love and Trust | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feeling Groovy | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Goodall | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap to Open | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Bluffing | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thesewallshaveears | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kayla’s Komet | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Matters | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isabelle’s Music | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Callmeyourmajesty | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zsa Zsa | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Funny Bunny | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Constructively | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mojacar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guns Allowed | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knock It Off | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Double Entendre | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Trouble Calling | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Roy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Tap | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bearister | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Ops | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Them Roses | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | McBridge | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Days Ahead | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tapit’s Gunner | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Duncan F. Kenner S.) – Duncan F. Kenner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Usually Wrong | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Headed | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petcoff | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bear River | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Deny It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | High Front | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Step Forward | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mondogetsbuckets | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tough Catch | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Frost Free | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schwarzmeier | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Monsieur Candy | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Valance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ocelli | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Market Runner | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roguishness | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reagan’s Honor | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gethsemane | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Shot | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | He’s a Charmer | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Capo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Norme de Jour | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kelz | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset Skip | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Medoro | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Treasure | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nanda Dea (ARG) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stylish Sue | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strikingly Spun | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Style | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Triumphant Spirit | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Speech | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupids Crush | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bout Hilary | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lakota Spirit | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fasig-tipton Silverbulletday S.) – Fasig-tipton Silverbulletday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atropa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taken by the Wind | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luv Your Neighbor | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Smoke | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pashmina | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin in Old Town | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Colonel E. R. Bradley S.) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kupuna | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lagynos | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idratherbeblessed | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cameo Performance | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theismann | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gigante | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reagan’s Wit | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Point Proven | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vote No | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Pipes | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Otago | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Louisiana S. Presented By Hagyard) – Louisiana S. Presented By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Just a Touch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willy D’s | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Greylind | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadet Corps | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerize | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tarantino | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Henro | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Lecomte S.) – Lecomte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crown the Buckeye | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chip Honcho | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Buck | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Tempo | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mesquite | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Car | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | White Tiger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carson Street | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Mischief | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ocelli | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exosome | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.