Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sabi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calibrate | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liar’s Poker | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Protonic Power | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Write Off Jerry | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Next Level | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devil’s Harvest | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | National Eclipse | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solid Left | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Now and Later | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curahee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Super Mo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Ridge | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Shane | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Running Faith | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tied the Knot | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Getaway | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seamus’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Emily | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Hankerin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jackson Hole | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herbs Bolt | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arabia Wild | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colt Forty Seven | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Different Gravy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vamos Ya | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Buck | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clear as a Bele | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Time | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dapper Moon | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | F T W Slam | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Max Got Excited | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Jess | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | House Bourbon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Craken Jax | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majority Opinion | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kayla’s Komet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Matters | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feeling Groovy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Constructively | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Funny Bunny | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thesewallshaveears | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap to Open | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Goodall | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isabelle’s Music | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Callmeyourmajesty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Love and Trust | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Bluffing | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zsa Zsa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Roy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trouble Calling | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Days Ahead | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guns Allowed | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mojacar | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bearister | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Them Roses | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Entendre | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knock It Off | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Tap | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | McBridge | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Ops | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tapit’s Gunner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Duncan F. Kenner S.) – Duncan F. Kenner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heart Headed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Usually Wrong | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bear River | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Schwarzmeier | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Deny It | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mondogetsbuckets | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Petcoff | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | High Front | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Step Forward | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Frost Free | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Monsieur Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tough Catch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Valance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ocelli | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Capo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roguishness | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Market Runner | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Norme de Jour | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Shot | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | He’s a Charmer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gethsemane | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reagan’s Honor | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kelz | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset Skip | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Medoro | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nanda Dea (ARG) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Treasure | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stylish Sue | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Style | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Speech | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cupids Crush | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strikingly Spun | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Triumphant Spirit | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lakota Spirit | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bout Hilary | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fasig-tipton Silverbulletday S.) – Fasig-tipton Silverbulletday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Taken by the Wind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atropa | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Smoke | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pashmina | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin in Old Town | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luv Your Neighbor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Colonel E. R. Bradley S.) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lagynos | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kupuna | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cameo Performance | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theismann | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gigante | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idratherbeblessed | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Point Proven | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vote No | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reagan’s Wit | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Pipes | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Otago | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Louisiana S. Presented By Hagyard) – Louisiana S. Presented By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Just a Touch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Greylind | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willy D’s | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerize | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadet Corps | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Henro | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tarantino | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Lecomte S.) – Lecomte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crown the Buckeye | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Car | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chip Honcho | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | White Tiger | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carson Street | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Mischief | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Tempo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Buck | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mesquite | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exosome | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocelli | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.