Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 18, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rule Sixty Two 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Fort Nelson 1.40 2.3 4-1
5 5 New York Scrappy 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Middle Market 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Redacted 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eagle Rising 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Juliet On Approach 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Full Pour 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Our Preferred Pal 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 On a Summer Day 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Lady Delilah 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ready for Trouble 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shadyside 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cararra 1.60 2 4-1
1 1 In Awe of Juju 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Princess Ny 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Pure Lure 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Problematica 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Echo in Eternity 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dorth’s Sol Dancer 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Maggie T 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Jackie the Joker 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Troubled Luck 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Best Impression 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Two Ducks 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Frankie Coffeecake 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Kaz Brio 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Slay Sadie Slay 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mitolegayne 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Complexington 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sonofasonofasailor 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 B Raging On 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Remi’s Moon 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lotsa Trouble 2.50 1.9 3-1
7 7 Looms Boldly 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Brew Pub 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lost in Rome 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Glint 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Quiet Wisdom 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tarpaulin 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Last Man Standing 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Carvellian Quest 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Epitaph 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Thrill of It 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Enduring Spirit 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 First Trumpet 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clarividente 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sassy Sats 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Just a Click 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lucky Lucky Me 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Berbice Honey 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 So Tru 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Spicey Ticey 8.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Saratoga Sunset 10.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Looking At Annie 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Flee 3.50 8.8 17-1
8 8 Deets Don’t Lie 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.