Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Smoking | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Aunt J | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Punch | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steal Me Over | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Line Ruler | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unified Love | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maximum Moxie | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daisy de Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Battleoflexington | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Cupid | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Niko | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Liam | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Coldest | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Days Later | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Moscato | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | News At Nine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Blue | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highstakes Hustler | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernin Tune | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Bear Plunge | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C Mac Da Boss | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Stormy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time to Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notion | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Boss | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Metatron’s Muse | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Coaxing | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightster Red | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | River in Egypt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Loch Fyne | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cara Felce | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Killa Sally | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazie Prego | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Napoli | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unlikely Queen | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tortuga Coast | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Look At Me Nah | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Faithful Departed | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream From Within | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Skater | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | U Vicky | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Truly an Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Creole Chrome | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Hawaiian | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamite Tonight | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Mane | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Mary’s Comet | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perpetual Patience | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Get Trae | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pardoned | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fregata | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spare Me | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gerber Daisy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charging Ovatime | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angelic Katie | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stellar Knickie | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Niche | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Moon | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stepping Stones | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sissone | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Attention | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | One More Guitar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aegis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Respectheconnect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Mo | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deal Me Trips | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellastone Country | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parole Drama | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gato Blue | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aurelius Lass | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallabye | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make Me a Deal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.