Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Custom Punch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Aunt J | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Smoking | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steal Me Over | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unified Love | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Line Ruler | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daisy de Oro | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maximum Moxie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Battleoflexington | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Cupid | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Liam | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Niko | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Moscato | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Days Later | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Coldest | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | News At Nine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Blue | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raising Kane | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Bear Plunge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highstakes Hustler | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C Mac Da Boss | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernin Tune | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Stormy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time to Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metatron’s Muse | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightster Red | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Boss | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Coaxing | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notion | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River in Egypt | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Killa Sally | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Truly an Honor | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loch Fyne | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Look At Me Nah | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Skater | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dream From Within | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cara Felce | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | U Vicky | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unlikely Queen | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Faithful Departed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Napoli | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tortuga Coast | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grazie Prego | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Creole Chrome | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamite Tonight | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Hawaiian | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Mane | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perpetual Patience | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pardoned | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Mary’s Comet | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Get Trae | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Moon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gerber Daisy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stepping Stones | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | One More Guitar | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spare Me | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Aegis | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charging Ovatime | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sissone | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Attention | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fregata | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angelic Katie | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Niche | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stellar Knickie | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Respectheconnect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deal Me Trips | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Mo | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aurelius Lass | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gato Blue | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallabye | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellastone Country | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make Me a Deal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parole Drama | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.