Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 19, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mika Ella Pika 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 The Pretty Sister 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Honor His Half 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Precious Money 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 About to Set Sail 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sacred Saint 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strawberry Sundae 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sue’s Little Zing 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Anita’s Vision 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Agami 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Cajun Aces 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Averi Ever After 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Miss Kennedy 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Pat Hand Girl 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Debs Prayer 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Clearly Majestic 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Angelic Knight 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Asthecoldwindblows 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Final Half 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Josh G 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 My Man Brandon 5.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Silent Breeze 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sir Mack 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Bearcat 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Louisiana Native 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Watering 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sheila’s Lion 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Malibu Smart 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Say I Do Sadie 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Lookster 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Bamtwentyklater 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Day Dawning 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Romany Road 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Linda Faye 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 McKinzie Magic 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ballybay Beauty 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eye Dee Kay 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Great Escape 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Treble Clef 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Yellow Brick 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Bolt At Midnight 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Sir Exton 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Space 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Beyond Best 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prepped 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Prince of Light 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Road Trippin 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Matching Funds 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Swift Blade 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Sweet Retreat 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Citatus 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Swerve 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Chasing Gray 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Maximum Bourbon 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Benji Star 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Proctor Phantom 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Good Mojo 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Invictus 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Goldbrick 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Lucius Verus 5.00 6 11-1
6 6 Il Cavallino 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 To the Chief 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Karate Island 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Vitruvius 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Soulman 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Tan Chulo 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Taterpie 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Magic Brew 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ain’t Dere No Mo 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Good Willie 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Zampino 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 He Gone 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Straitshootinlarry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 It’s Been Real 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mikkisonthinice 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Sweet Aurora G 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 La Maxima 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Liberty Simone 30.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Open Parole 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Bronze Legacy 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Obstacle Gal 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ve Nina 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Southern Love 30.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Longshot Baby 30.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Bright Note 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.