Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | La Grotte | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shining Spirit | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson Avenue | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mexican Sugar | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sofster | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creme Caramel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Motion | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Mischief | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Fleet | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | To Be Loved by You | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Mesa | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Can Scat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fine Diamond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lover Boy Ness | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grande Felino | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gavone | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jethro Excellence | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Williston Warrior | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Vanilla | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Marjorie | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Shore Thing | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Joyce | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inamorata | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Betty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Bernardini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Combat Hoofs | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winkiwinki | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomarie | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Swell | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emily’s On Fire | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gia’s Fuego | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Babe | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flower Mound | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sundria | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Annmarie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pageant Princess | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popover Gal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getaway Palace | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moor Strength | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ree Nee’s Six | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alyvia’s Girl | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Confirmed Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carousel Queen | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shetalkstomuch | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Uptown Girl | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jump a Fox | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snappy Ride | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dewey Doit | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | N. Y. Finest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold in My Hands | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sam’s Glory | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buff Gary | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slew of Fortune | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreetismydaddy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cahvari | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bernie’s Mitts | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Easy Days | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Breeze | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gordian Knot | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Rice | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factor U and Me In | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soze | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Six Kings | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Like Mike | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B D Saints | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twentyeighttothree | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whitewalker | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anointed Spirit | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Motive | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nimmo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.