Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shining Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mexican Sugar | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson Avenue | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Grotte | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sofster | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Motion | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creme Caramel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Fleet | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Can Scat | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Mischief | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Mesa | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | To Be Loved by You | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gavone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Diamond | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grande Felino | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lover Boy Ness | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Williston Warrior | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jethro Excellence | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inamorata | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Shore Thing | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Marjorie | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Vanilla | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Betty | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Joyce | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Combat Hoofs | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Bernardini | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winkiwinki | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Babe | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emily’s On Fire | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Swell | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gia’s Fuego | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomarie | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pageant Princess | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Mound | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popover Gal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sundria | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getaway Palace | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ree Nee’s Six | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moor Strength | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Annmarie | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alyvia’s Girl | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shetalkstomuch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confirmed Star | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dewey Doit | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carousel Queen | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Uptown Girl | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snappy Ride | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jump a Fox | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | N. Y. Finest | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold in My Hands | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sam’s Glory | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cahvari | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buff Gary | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreetismydaddy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slew of Fortune | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Breeze | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Easy Days | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soze | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gordian Knot | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factor U and Me In | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Rice | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernie’s Mitts | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whitewalker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Six Kings | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nimmo | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | B D Saints | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twentyeighttothree | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anointed Spirit | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Like Mike | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Motive | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Lion | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.