Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Girlie’s Max | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pasketee | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valid Deelite | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leisurely | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyz Warning | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deal Em Justice | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Night Train | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | About the Business | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quik Punch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Live Affair | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anacreon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Perfecto | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gucci Boy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call My Banker | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Castle Island | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Path to Success | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtrot Harry | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polterer | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butler Cabin | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uxmal | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unlawful | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Deals | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Woods | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tears for Thee | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ohm Namo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zyanaro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sainted | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mercedes Morning | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louie Le Coeur | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C C Short Drive | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Credo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viv’s Wild Aces | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wupkar | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’tcallmepatsy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy Red | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shamay | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Catalina | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spielman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fierce Cat | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gobekli | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zoom There It Is | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heart Prints | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runner Runner | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gloryland Band | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Lover Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deftly Done | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Rage | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Saber | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cali Dreamin | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asaasy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peyton’s Day | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muncle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kee Jee | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Divine Justice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morunning | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purple Heart | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Easy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spamalot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Monopoly Man | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Dollars | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wolf Man Jack | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Thunderer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Knicks Story | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Changing Times | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bind Faith | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iron in the Fire | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mobster Gun | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Wise | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sam’s Promise | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleonic Code | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Candy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.