Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Valid Deelite | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pasketee | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deal Em Justice | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quik Punch | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyz Warning | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leisurely | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Live Affair | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girlie’s Max | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Night Train | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anacreon | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | About the Business | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call My Banker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castle Island | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polterer | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gucci Boy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Butler Cabin | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Path to Success | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foxtrot Harry | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uxmal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | El Perfecto | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unlawful | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tears for Thee | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Deals | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Woods | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mercedes Morning | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ohm Namo | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zyanaro | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louie Le Coeur | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sainted | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | C C Short Drive | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shamay | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viv’s Wild Aces | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Credo | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Catalina | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wupkar | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’tcallmepatsy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy Red | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fierce Cat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spielman | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runner Runner | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heart Prints | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoom There It Is | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Lover Boy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gloryland Band | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gobekli | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cali Dreamin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Saber | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Rage | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deftly Done | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muncle | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asaasy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kee Jee | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peyton’s Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Divine Justice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Easy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spamalot | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morunning | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wolf Man Jack | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Dollars | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Monopoly Man | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purple Heart | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Iron in the Fire | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bind Faith | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Thunderer | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mobster Gun | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleonic Code | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knicks Story | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sam’s Promise | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Super Wise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Changing Times | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
