Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 22, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Treaty Obligation 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 2.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Typhoon Fury 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Celestial Glaze 1.20 4 8-1
2 2 Asleep At Eight 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vanilla 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Always Practical 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Hey Cookie 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Sheer Will 1.40 2.1 4-1
5 5 Casilda 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Tiz Purple 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Baron of Sealand 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Adventurist 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Blame It On Daddy 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Awesome Empire 3.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Lou 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Landauer 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princess Becca 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fast and Frisky 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sweetest Princess 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Munny Grab 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lika Rolling Stone 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Giant At Work 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sparkling Mama 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hot Gossip 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Doppio Espresso 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Sirius Pursuit 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 My First Dinah 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Quality Swag 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Fatima Blush 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vino Frizzante 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Chocolatechocolate 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Perugia 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 La Gran Artesana 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Luckforyou 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Saucy Six 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Aunt Yola 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hong Kong Phooey 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sculcos Folly 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Capanaparo 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Liamster 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 The Toy Cannon 1.60 3.2 6-1
2 2 Essentially Fast 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Never Say Uncle 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 With the Angels 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 All Class 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 My Magic Wand 6.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Cupid’s Heart 4.50 7.8 15-1
4 4 Reliable Lady 8.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Twirling Beauty 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Goodnightngodbless 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Khali Magic 12.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Nilo’s Rose 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.