Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Glaze | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treaty Obligation | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Typhoon Fury | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asleep At Eight | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sheer Will | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanilla | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Practical | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Purple | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Cookie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casilda | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baron of Sealand | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adventurist | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Empire | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lou | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame It On Daddy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landauer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fast and Frisky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweetest Princess | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Becca | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lika Rolling Stone | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giant At Work | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munny Grab | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gossip | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkling Mama | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fatima Blush | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doppio Espresso | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sirius Pursuit | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My First Dinah | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Swag | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vino Frizzante | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chocolatechocolate | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luckforyou | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perugia | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Yola | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saucy Six | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Gran Artesana | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Toy Cannon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sculcos Folly | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hong Kong Phooey | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capanaparo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liamster | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Never Say Uncle | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Essentially Fast | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | With the Angels | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cupid’s Heart | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Magic Wand | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Class | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reliable Lady | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khali Magic | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Beauty | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodnightngodbless | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nilo’s Rose | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.