Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Half Way There | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Ronnie | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shawn’s Solving | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crigler | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Tequila | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Josan | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gatsby’s Fortune | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tartaria | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Love Torres | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Empress | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Markievicz | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Country Belle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yuma’s Shadow | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Margoinabubblebath | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cairo Charm | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoom Erin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamonds Joy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day for the Gray | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Morning | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Your Life | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boitano | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Road | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brit’s Wit | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Roll Bolt | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twoko Bay | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Muldoon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prowling Tiger | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortuity | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Even the Wind | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tre Italiani | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Contribution | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crisis Manager | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Original Sin | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shepherd | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Face the Future | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Remember Mamba | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beekman Street | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casa Cielo | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McCready | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sav’n Money | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Knight | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toogoodtosell | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pure Joy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Law | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eye Catcher | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macy’s Mischief | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A. P.’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twinklee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outro | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Londinium | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exclusive Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ontario | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Low Key | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | September Magic | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Threat (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Iva | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miskellieanne | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mambo Queen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Back Loretta | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lonelle | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Differently | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Molly B | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Island Cabana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Syvestar | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creekside | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unified Report | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey’s Lightening | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Aces | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Good | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Premo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.