Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Ronnie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crigler | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Way There | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Josan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Tequila | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shawn’s Solving | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gatsby’s Fortune | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tough Love Torres | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tartaria | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yuma’s Shadow | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Empress | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Country Belle | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Markievicz | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zoom Erin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamonds Joy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Day for the Gray | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Morning | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Your Life | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cairo Charm | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margoinabubblebath | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boitano | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brit’s Wit | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Muldoon | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortuity | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twoko Bay | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Road | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Even the Wind | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prowling Tiger | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Roll Bolt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Contribution | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tre Italiani | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Original Sin | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crisis Manager | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shepherd | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Face the Future | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Casa Cielo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remember Mamba | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beekman Street | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sav’n Money | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McCready | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toogoodtosell | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Knight | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A. P.’s Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Law | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eye Catcher | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Joy | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twinklee | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macy’s Mischief | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Londinium | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outro | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exclusive Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | September Magic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Threat (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ontario | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miskellieanne | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mambo Queen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lonelle | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Back Loretta | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Iva | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Differently | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Molly B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Low Key | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Unified Report | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creekside | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Syvestar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Cabana | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Good | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Aces | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joey’s Lightening | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Premo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.