Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sittin Chilly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Man Bob | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backtrack | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | We Miss Neil | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Davola | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Booted Up | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Dosser | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Clint | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Violets Smile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirited Ride | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Azure Lady | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Like Crazy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikey’s Song | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melittlefrostgirl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Princess | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amaterasu | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girlfromouterspace | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beachgrass | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Spice | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Southern Dream | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coalville | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regalpains | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guaio | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Jersey | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie’s Express | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dirty Harry | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Extrasexymcsteemee | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Kingdom | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovemeakaren | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lyonzi | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Is Life | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jadon’s Honor | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whoosh | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lino and Me | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tariba Dream | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Know Me | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Post It | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtap Girl | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everheart | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alma Brilha | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joey the Fish | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yodel E. A. Who | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Endeavor | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ahsad | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epic Luck | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Munni | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preach It Warrior | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Got Swagger | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traffic Master | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gurt’s Reward | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dale | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | They Got Curry | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disco Hopp | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Panama Limited | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn On Twiss | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fight Fiercely | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet N Win | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tallahatchiebridge | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dos de Oros | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Aficionado | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Maestro | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Geebert | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Gizmo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Legacy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wyatt Hunter | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast N Sweet | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Compa | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Ham | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stillwater Moon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crack the Code | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Private Cabana | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mavis Mischief | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.