Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Lilly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable U | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Photogenic | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiyara | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flamingo Star | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Definitely Prbable | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Specialty | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tee N Off | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bowtie Boys | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Tizzy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Not Stirred | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief Moments | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Do It for Dave | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Donna | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Springline | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Numbers | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Baby | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Belle | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Darlin’ Duchess | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Bev | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharons Beach | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Cruiser | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharons Angels | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostwritten | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liam Smith | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Ambush | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speed Boat Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St Anthony | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of a Birch | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Oriente (CHI) | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vlahos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nesso’s Lastharrah | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shady Stripes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cash in Toknight | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tammy Baby | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Humor | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grape Juice Too | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aguila Azul | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gogotiz | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valentina Jan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapatia Mia | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kat | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Libel Proof | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Love Caroline | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Memetic | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lino’s Angel | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pasalubong | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tariff | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Choochies | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Geometry | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lammas (GB) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Living Life | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Point | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Suchet (FR) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.