Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Connect the Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amended Dreamer | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hedge Book | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Give Your Best (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Gun Runner | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solve (IRE) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Other One | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Break Up (IRE) | 3.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Wonderful World (FR) | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ensley | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sorella Bella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Three to G | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shot At Perfection | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Elenique | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mo’s Little Darlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mundy Sweep | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Araucano | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Migratory | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop Being Greedy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Song | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Lazarus | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemstone Warrior | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Friolento | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Cruiser | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mila’s Wish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prize Pick | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Crescent | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quentin B | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Code Review | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Reward | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amberjack | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Azam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Deep Flame | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheshimaintenance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brenna | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | China Blue | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Firebird | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madness | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Neom City | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Trumpetta | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vasy (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pay the Piper | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Democracy Defender | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heading | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mykonos | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Easy Pick | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Xcel | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Sailor | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ovechkin | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vol Du Condor | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Struck Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Believein | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Candy Addiction | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mo Ladies | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hamunaptra | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Funky See Funky Do | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Z First | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One of One | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Geaux Amy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worldly Beauty | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burnaway | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Compass Rises | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Jannet | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunroof | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tinta Roja | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Diamonds N Thrills | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lost Money | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War World Rocks | 50.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spartacus | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canaletto | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Factor | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mapped Flight | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prospector | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Autobahn | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hickman Creek | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irish Gent (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Brigade | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maruvy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Browne | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Ed | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Name It | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beijing Boss | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giuro | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruising | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Human Desire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frosted Bull | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rhythm ‘n Blues | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Peppermint Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nate the Great | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle John | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Longbranch Lou | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rigel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corta Fuego | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Palace View (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Give Me Liberty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Double Neat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pursuitneversleeps | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Tuscan | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Billal | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Liam | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nutella Fella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Practically Dark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Life Is Precious | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just So Pretty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snipsnippitysnip | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icona (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Jules | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Via Veneto | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Queen McKinzie | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timeless Wonder | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eenymeanymightymo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Too Many Mikes | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Objectof Affection (GB) | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Putonahappyface | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Obsidian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Starship Nautilus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.