Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cathal (IRE) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Quest | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Salute | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ya’ll Come | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earned Not Given | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Got Soul | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Irish Element | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Da Gig | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodbye Dal | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Babe Ruthless | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palo Alto | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A. P. Again | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Fritz | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Happy Dude | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Very Quiet | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petrakos | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | All in the Game | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turkey Bird | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Syntax | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Mischief | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dad’s Bad Bunny | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Thru Fire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pura Vida Princesa | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lubie’s Music | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prestige Fungson | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saucier | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Robin With a Why | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thatsalrightmama | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surf Song | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Rapper | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Star | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Play for Me | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reckless Ride | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzing Zella | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trickifult | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Siempre Naman | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subtle Knowledge | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Baffle S.) – Baffle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hey Nay Nay (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greenwich Village | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Later Than Planned (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bust Out | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Track Tiger | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cal’s Goal | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won for Lou | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Berlin Wall | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Left Hand Man | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keithing Thunder | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Gypsy Cowboy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pass the Baton | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crypto Ride | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Treasure | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Palisades | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Team Player | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’s Curlin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Army Man | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | House of Mischief | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essos | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saharian | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dinkum | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Artist (FR) | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out of the Woods | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mendel’s Tune | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.