Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magical Deal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onedayatatime | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ancho | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelbi’s Star | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cincy’s Player | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Breakup | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Santa Maria | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justforme | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thisoneisforyou | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tarkington Sunrise | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takeittothehouse | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Spicy | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Real Silk | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss St. Claire | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Norma Jean Bling | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’busker | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Frijoles | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Prince | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackberry Crown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Money Drop | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minimus Maximus | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Digits | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil J. Henry | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ole Mister | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ongoing Challenge | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Closing With Honor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Robbiesstormangel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star of Astrology | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glitters Andie | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Southern Girl | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodi Odi | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheyenne Moon | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pitchatizzy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Railey Jean | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molli Way | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Country | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Avion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Too Feisty | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hadda Have It | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howiewin | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stray Lightning | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choctaw Strategy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Gansito | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feathers Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | After the Game | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ambiguous | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aller Vite | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Moon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arromax | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Malice | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Gallop | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Mike Mike | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazing Mark | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riverwalk | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice’m Up Boys | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Max Is G Money | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interlude | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Soy Borracho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Puckster | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taurean | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Like Clockwork | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whatdidwedo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lincoln Production | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Notime Formischief | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Dropbilly | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chahta Citizen | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Strong | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Captain Dakota | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ruiz Junior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.