Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magical Deal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ancho | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelbi’s Star | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cincy’s Player | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onedayatatime | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Santa Maria | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Breakup | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justforme | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Takeittothehouse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Frijoles | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thisoneisforyou | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tarkington Sunrise | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss St. Claire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Real Silk | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D’busker | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Too Spicy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Norma Jean Bling | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blackberry Crown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Prince | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ole Mister | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Closing With Honor | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Digits | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ongoing Challenge | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money Drop | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robbiesstormangel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Minimus Maximus | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil J. Henry | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Southern Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheyenne Moon | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glitters Andie | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star of Astrology | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pitchatizzy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodi Odi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Railey Jean | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molli Way | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Country | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Avion | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howiewin | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Gansito | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stray Lightning | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choctaw Strategy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Too Feisty | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hadda Have It | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feathers Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | After the Game | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arromax | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aller Vite | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ambiguous | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Moon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Malice | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Homeland Messa | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Marks Spirit | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Gallop | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazing Mark | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Max Is G Money | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice’m Up Boys | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Interlude | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Mike Mike | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Riverwalk | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Soy Borracho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Strong | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ruiz Junior | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puckster | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Notime Formischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatdidwedo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Like Clockwork | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lincoln Production | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chahta Citizen | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taurean | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Captain Dakota | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Dropbilly | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.