Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | John’s June | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Francesnfriends | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Claire | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naykesh | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Global Value | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rainy Day | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arguing Louise | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Show Time | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guanare | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Ball | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Briterdayzahead | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carambaso | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Romance | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | G’wildcat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charco | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myglorybee | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Late September | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speightful One | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prodigy Paradise | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Determination | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Enlighten | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Interlock Empire | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Contemplation | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steppin Silver | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Machine Gun Man | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polar Bear Plunge | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skipper’s Pride | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Raising Kane | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bebedouro | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Salt Lick | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard to Fathom | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baltimore Heart | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Discovery | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jailhouse Religion | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kisses for Cooper | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Y City | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Dixie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keen Gal | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promesa Divina | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moor to Conquer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lyla’s Golden Gal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bosun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vesture | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Magic | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marcus Gift | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snare | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amoudi Bay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassi D | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vamos Carlitos | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Halo Music | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kazoom | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bird the Legend | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Cab On the Rocks | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final War | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Festivo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Props | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Mischief | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked as Haggart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southscape | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captivating Star | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mysterious Spirit | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | A Passive Nobody | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turf Monster | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mi Solution | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bob’s Channel | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coffee County | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Dollars | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moment of Stardom | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Deal | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Doctor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wayllen Richard | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bro Coop | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Take Backs | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hexcel | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | License to Steal | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crecencio | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kah Nigh | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.