Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Imperial Bandit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Man of the Hill | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maggies Mission | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina Gold | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Many Titos | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Time | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peak Priority | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zong’s Creed | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cozzino | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Prince | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scallywag | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karaoke | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insignis | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Throwin’ Shade | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kingscote | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Special Stormy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Salty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninth Ward Bobby O | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mingling Mo | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Engageinthecandy | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slowdownanmoveover | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Guitar Guy | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Red Road | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Priscilla Rose | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Dean | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Borongan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kindling Embers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incognito Burrito | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brunch Punch | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pondicherry | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Have No Idea | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Campout | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Express | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castille | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stans Home Run | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knicks Story | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparra | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sam’s Promise | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heartthrob Halo | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life Is a Banquet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Julia’s Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Grace | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anajuliaforever | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wings of a Sparrow | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Ella | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good N Sassy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Custom Candy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Craftroom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Funtimegirl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cunimbus | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inchhighatahundred | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poppa Magic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Blanket | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Runner | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Deal | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Digits | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Nina Dorada | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Keepsake | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Love | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Show Me the Candy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gottotry Mischief | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forgotten Fortune | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Gold | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Max’s Redemption | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Performer | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | He’s Ready to Win | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pakula | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Senor Smoke | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Brad’s Cowboy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildcats’s Meow | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luke’s Hippie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redrebelproduction | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chivato | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lee’s Wicked One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Not Free | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.