Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sliceaway | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Estrella | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Poppi | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Maiara | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kathleen’s Derby | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Bello Banker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bint Mischief | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Affirming | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rainbow Lane | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jadacaquiva | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turkish Flame | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saint Cloud | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lamcaro | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Transactional Guy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Excuses | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Muheet | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Joker | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McMullen | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Honor Her | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Run | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pancho Slips Away | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cant Stop Munnings | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Sky | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Step Slow | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luz de Guia | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wheelhouse | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twice Enticed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Commendatore | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Road Mischief | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Josh Ready | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starr of Jericho | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Black | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Losmastix | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Foolish Notion | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bethel Road | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Van Cleef | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Il Principado | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kate the Smate | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zealot | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nacho Problem | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Vino | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rogue Runner | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glancing My Way | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winrooski | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gigi Cake’s | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fermi | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Esther | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s Only Words | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Shaker | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girvin Star | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evanora | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Both Sides | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Smart Jenny | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elenique | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keepsake Box | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pan Pan | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Academia | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trill | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mia Familia | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rules and Regs | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shot At Perfection | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sorella Bella | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blast Radius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tshiebwe | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmies Big Day | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sneak Preview | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dune Road | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accelerate Me | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vigano | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lou the Body | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chucky’s Ride | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Package | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drama | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muffin Music | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizasweetlady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Beach | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tululo | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mermaid | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fraudster | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cinq a Sept | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Undercover Agent | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Horsing Around | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bashful Baby | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Groovy N Gray | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sugar Doll | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Critikal Sense | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Martini | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lexi V. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | En Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Calypso Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Emblaze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.