Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | J J’s True Bet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Appealing Addie | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodruff | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ministry’s Destiny | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cashmere Baby | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Macy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morally Complex | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | L. A. Diamond | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not for Everyone | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sisters in Town | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rowdy Riot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Poppa Echo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s Carrot | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Ready | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mamoot | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Springtown | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Vector | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirage | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tapwrits Temper | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purse Thief | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mellifluous | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run for Gold | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aerate | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cape Trafalgar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ravin’s Town | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unload | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juilliard | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optimal Courage | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princip | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | String Theory | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Echo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hedge | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Vdaytothetenacious | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiger Town | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kunshan Bridge | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cool and Cloudy | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Statler | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nu What’s New | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zero Sugar | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Gun Runner Charlie | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Storm | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Mark | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Strike | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spoiler | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight West | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Edified | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Gain | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Couperin | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sound of Victory | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Capo Luca | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Global Quote | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Troubler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emmallene | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line Runner | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Calipari’s Girl | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Den | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Que Sera | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Love Me Some Candy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Baby D | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Psalm Twenty Seven | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myrna | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deliver Dawn | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roots Tootn | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Heavenly Destiny | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Eclipse | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous M | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carbone | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Sam | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Vince | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caramel Chip | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eli’s Promise | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Xperiment | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gunflash | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Luna | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McFasty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilburton | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Krush | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scuffle | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brosnan | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rudie Won’t Fail | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Field Study | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palmer Beach | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miskell | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gray Taps | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Camino | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Paired | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Valor | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fifth Season S.) – Fifth Season S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pony Express | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speed King | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seize the Night | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thoughtthatcounts | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Again | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Will Take It | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodcourt | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Law | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Raymond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Without Objection | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Air of Defiance | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Tommy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Shot | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rabbit Hound | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | J J’s Joker | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taillights | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ceepeegee | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stomping Hotrod | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Berry Mischievous | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Black Magic River | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charted Destiny | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jolly Jolene | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | River Wind | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helene’s Power | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Sophie | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highlight Show | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yasmin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | My Glenda Faye | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Private Debbie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Novalie | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Majestic Moon | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Missy | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.