Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Factory Setting | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Sally | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majorsdreamcometru | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugartown Sweetie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raynham Hall | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Nikki D | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Combatant’s Song | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greek Goddess | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Toboggan S.) – Toboggan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Meridius | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Light the Way | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nation | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Over and Ollie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be You | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Way | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Celtic Prince | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come Full Circle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Hand Rich | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nantz | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Say | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lean Music Machine | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pandemic Hero | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Montauk Memoirs | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Arc | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy Dreaming | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Ruthless S.) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shilling | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnite Ginny | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ivy Girl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Bits | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Interstatelovesong | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haunting Echoes | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courage On Tap | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Did It Dialed | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Playa Del Mar | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Complex Agenda | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Bear | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Interceptor | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curvino | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Turn and Count | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leftembehind | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apalta | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ladies S.) – Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Weigh the Risks | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernietakescharge | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Katherine | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scalable | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ourdaydreaminggirl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tipple | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Low Country Magic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Girl | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sacrosanct | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Valiant | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Protected | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moe Eighty Eight | 1.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trust Fund | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Private Desire | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bermuda Blitz | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Mitole | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buttah | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Braciole | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reynolds Channel | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Land d’Oro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Bordeaux | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makes Sense | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whittington Park | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Magic | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chillax | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Valentinian | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Waitlist | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Ways | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Toga d’Oro | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Run Quiet Run Fast | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ambition | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Withers S.) – Withers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mailata | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Sweeper | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fourth and One | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ottinho | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Project Ace | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schoolyardsuperman | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talk to Me Jimmy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grittiness | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mister Holden | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skylander | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Night | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Happy Pappy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Frens | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O P Firecracker | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aleah Aleah | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bar Fourteen | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eric From Miami | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nobodyridesforfree | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | He’s Got This | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.