Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | India Ink | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Bert | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warp Ride | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jerry’s Eighty | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Sassicaia | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Father Goose | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Play Rule | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Guitar Doctor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bello Creedo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vodka Martini | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Captivating Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knocked Out | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal d’Oro | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerrigan’s Touch | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats Cadet | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Janet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Z | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fitts N Starts | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Q Bond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hint Hint | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Time | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cava de Oro | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proton Kitty | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dat Hint | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Amber Q | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Simple | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alizae | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laura’s Custom | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Megans Millions | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Dealority | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Queen | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raise the Alarm | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl Thirsty | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seraphina Sea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shezadevil | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smoochie Boo | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Security Queen | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gatsby’sgreenlight | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Momma Mia | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foggy Morning | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Ardilla | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Give Me a Try | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Port | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Dad’s Guitar | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hes the Bomb Too | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Chulupa | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crigler | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Alliance | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run On Aces | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Vision | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Star | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Business Model | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moro Mafia | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnnysjourney | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Kitten | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leblon | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wood River | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Know How | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Donegal Clan | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nasty Habit | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Island Cruiser | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr McGregor | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perry County | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Academic | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doctored Deal | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Highland Creek | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Heist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lambo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tdzshininluckystar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Selectively Sweet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Won Bright Light | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brewster County | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roberts Revenge | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Express | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papiringa | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiff With Jimmy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nownowdancer | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Close | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madame Markievicz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.