Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dixieland Chill | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortheloveofrun | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Blues | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hyper Inflation | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rolly | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drunkle | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guaio | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scudetto | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Happyflyer | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Synergy | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fazaro | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dirty Harry | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zoning Order | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Know Me | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faytastic | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Everheart | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Cinnamon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Volatility | 1.80 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Fit | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alma Brilha | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ragtap Girl | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Repaynt | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sittin Chilly | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roxton | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Night | 1.80 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheer Dominance | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skull Honor | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Realization | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marchin Into April | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin Wild | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Confiscated | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Thunder | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovemeakaren | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drake Drive | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centaur Central | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeping the Faith | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Punch It Margaret | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jadon’s Honor | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Society Ball | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Popover Gal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Getaway Palace | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sundria | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misspent | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leftover Sushi | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Girl | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quick to Judge | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Smoothie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chubasco Sauce | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Stones | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Alley | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knockanarrow | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spinemjohnny | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Union Purrfection | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bobo Liver | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lucchesi | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Noble Gentleman | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dos de Oros | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hey Buddy | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moving to Kentucky | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donnelly’s Hollow | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson’s Legacy | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Watch Hill | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey River | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Exclusive Dancer | 5.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Talented | 5.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liberty Runner | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Badbadbobby | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Cupid | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dakota Springs | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popthechampagne Ro | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Winkiwinki | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sirani | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ghostly Girl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Motion | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Mischief | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | You’re Forever | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hopeforgreatness | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Temper | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Pontiffany | 5.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Onthisharvestmoon | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Star Fran | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aruma | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Au Some Warrior | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Punctuality | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starlord | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyondexpectations | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Thor | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willisau | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Showtime Matinee | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McCrakens Ghost | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Check My Six | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Respirator | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoke Wagon | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mission First | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Face Down | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Votre Sante | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redacted | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solo in Paris | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Airman Trevor | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Road | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Bennett | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Cisco Kid | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Levee Was Dry | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palm Island | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sapphire Prince | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shipman | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biagio | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Cory Run | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Dark | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Transcendental | 4.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Twentyeighttothree | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Immense Faith | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Seven Anniversary | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Conviction | 5.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Midas | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.