Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 5, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tahila 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Patience N Grace 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Three Nines Fine 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Garden of Grace 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Undergrad 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lady Delilah 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Bustling Town 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Romantic Dancer 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Paula’s a Star 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sarir 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Bella Cleopatra 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Roman Grace 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Will Not Be Swayed 4.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Soloshot 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Where’s Your Boom 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gulfy 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Neigh Baby 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Just Tipsy 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Swiss Army Knife 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Exhibition Only 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 First Blessing 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Final Joke 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tabloid Material 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Best Impression 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Maggie T 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Book of Wisdom 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Open Soul Autism 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Miss Lao 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Dream On Cara 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Enigmatic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grit N Glitter 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Boiling Point 12.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Fairy Godmother 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tenacious Child 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Flee 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Game and Blue 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 My Girl Aubree 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Ishkabibble 30.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 She’s Bankable 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Cathedral Aisle 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fireballin 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Merica’s Back 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Unbroken Chain 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sir Kartrite 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Roofer 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Don Luis 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 New York Scrappy 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tiote 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Princess Wadadli 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tower Twenty Two 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Lady Angelina 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Grace and Grit 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 I’m Kidding 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Redwineandwhiskey 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Howling Wind 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sunshine Lily 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Rare Society 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Farm House 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Exploration 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Spirit Dragon 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Uncle Jim 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Analog Jones 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Register 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Scat Tu Tap 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 High Oak 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Complex Music 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Re Markably 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shoot the Nickel 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shadow Surge 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Playa Del Mar 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Cool Andy 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Golden Symphony 6.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Sergeant Capps 8.00 2.4 4-1
12 12 Timaeus 20.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Fiddling Felix 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Dormello 8.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Carvellian Quest 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Twohonestmischief 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Gamebred 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mozambique 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 House United 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Alias 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Thorsness 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Into Inspiration 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Army Proud 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Seeker’s Hope 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Projectability 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sports Hero 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Inonit 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Monte Avi 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Admiral Indy 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Dr. Merciless 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.