Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 5, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dirty Deal 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ahooga 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Everlovingmo 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Midnight Coal 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Chatty Milligan 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Charismatic Sailor 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Parole Drama 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 He’s Therealdeal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clearly Credo 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cool Guitar 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Majority Opinion 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Gabe’s Possum 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Pennys Deal 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 El Dan 15.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Coattails 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 The Boyz Priority 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Petitfor 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Baby’s Last Dance 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Running Ragged 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cajunsmores 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hadean Star 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Auston Got Even 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 One Sure Hit 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Cabanabobanna 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dauntless Star 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Zyanaro 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 My Kinda Deal 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Boston Chit Chat 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Running Production 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Solidify 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Incredible Shot 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Baron of the Nile 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Surprise Road Trip 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Classic Bet 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Timehascome 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Unfathomed 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Boss Soss 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Faversham 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Path to Success 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Crimson Storm 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Cryptozonic 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Uxmal 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bali Rolling Tide 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Grunt 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Yankeestrolgy 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 C F Spunie Style 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Seehoss 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Red Idol 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Chad’s Flash 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Summertime Peppers 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Pocketful of Money 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Strong Prospect 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jilly’s West 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Approval Rating 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 She’s Magnificent 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Beautiful Mischief 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Miz Mastery 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Venice Vibe 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Black Ginger 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lewis Memorial 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Toms Lucky Mo 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Witchology 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 S D’s Takeover 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Yakety Yock 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Brandon’s Best 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Easy Eddie A 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Littlebitofajimmy 8.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Big Roux 10.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Brother Ryan 15.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Zong’s Favor 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nelle Tue Mani 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.