Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ahooga | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dirty Deal | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Everlovingmo | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parole Drama | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chatty Milligan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Coal | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charismatic Sailor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Therealdeal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cool Guitar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pennys Deal | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Credo | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gabe’s Possum | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majority Opinion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Boyz Priority | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Coattails | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Dan | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Running Ragged | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baby’s Last Dance | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petitfor | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Kinda Deal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boston Chit Chat | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Running Production | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Sure Hit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Auston Got Even | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zyanaro | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dauntless Star | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hadean Star | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabanabobanna | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajunsmores | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Solidify | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Incredible Shot | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timehascome | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baron of the Nile | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Bet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surprise Road Trip | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unfathomed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Path to Success | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uxmal | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Boss Soss | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cryptozonic | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grunt | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Storm | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Faversham | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bali Rolling Tide | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | C F Spunie Style | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankeestrolgy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seehoss | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Idol | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chad’s Flash | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Prospect | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summertime Peppers | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pocketful of Money | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Approval Rating | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Mischief | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Magnificent | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jilly’s West | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Mastery | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Ginger | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venice Vibe | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yakety Yock | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | S D’s Takeover | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toms Lucky Mo | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Zong’s Favor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lewis Memorial | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witchology | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitofajimmy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Roux | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nelle Tue Mani | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy Eddie A | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brandon’s Best | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brother Ryan | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.