Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | War to Remember | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Beach Friends | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vino’s Valentine | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lobo Go | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Jack Express | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Marsh | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brick City | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dominican Thunder | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Bit Sideways | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Brunch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veola | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chitchatchitchat | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Ready | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Wrath | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Downtown Ro | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hope Diamond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | May Mischief | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodys Girl | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Love to Win | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sara’s Rose | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Sash | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fluffy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windrush | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellagio | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blond Jak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Nina | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Quality | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Wicked Hot | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riyah Al Nil | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | That’s Amore | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Tun Who | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harpy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Imperia Blue | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Bound | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call the Bullpen | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Comedy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greatest | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noche de Damas | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Blue | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Life | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whitethorn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Honor | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Cold Kelly | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Hope | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playa Azul | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tejanita | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Sweetheart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Beach (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catalonia | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pillar of Beauty | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spinelli | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bramble Blast | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tosca | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ifyousaidso | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scope | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jeter | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Believein | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Struck Gold | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chaos Agent | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redemption Hour | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lanum | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Full Nelson | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Art | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salvattore Prince | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manhattan Boy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roscoe Pine | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Farmer | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Frolic | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold N Breezy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vladislav | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Murabeh | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot N Lucky | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Top Box | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Parfait | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steelin Bases | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outta Money | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fredericksburg | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adversary | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Factor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oasis Prince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.