Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cane Crain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Suspect | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Gun | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scuffle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Reckless | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Astro Beau | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Out Flat | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razor Tap | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midshakin | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring St. Dreamer | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Energy | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Copperjacket | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magic Grant | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sivako | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Cool Dude | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eldon’s Prince | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brittany’s Dream | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Face Value | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Coppermaster | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frost Alert | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patch O’Brien | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Remember the Fear | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huge Bigly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Red Devil | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Inca Empire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lea Me Be | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Touchdown Arkansas | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zippy Mark | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome’s Echo | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Up | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gettinby | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lochmoor | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nicholai | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Al’s Romeo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bettys Cash | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strike Ridge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hap Hot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Payne | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Eglise | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Cut | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiringo | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Jack | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Got Thunder | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prayforpeace | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Right On Right On | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Sterling | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Healing Waters | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Konteekee | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kavod | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baby Vino | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cactus Charlie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spike the Punch | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mactak | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockfest | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Level | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Syndicate | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Tech | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Orange Road | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Banksy’s | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unauthorized | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Martha Washington S.) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Counting Stars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Newtown Pike | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit Parade | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Search Party | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spitfire | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Offer | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grace Is Free | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knickleandime | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silver Prince | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crupper | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Owie | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bienville | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr Fancy Pants | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fleek | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Jo Jo | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bedeviled | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I’m Worthy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Flyer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty’s Champion | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Raccoon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beale Street Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (General Macarthur Overnight S.) – General Macarthur Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Cruise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Greylind | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runaway Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mackman | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Energize | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Minister | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Party | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | First Division | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Law | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Archie the Giza | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Keen Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vital Mind | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Clampett | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lundberg | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Zat’s the One | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Swinger | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Run Jalen Run | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heart N Soul | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet as Sin | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dual Monarchy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hymn | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Finestkind | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Evans | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orange Diablo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hailstorm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bugler Overnight S.) – Bugler Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Fire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marmalade Skye | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foie Gras | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Titled Lady | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Springs | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen’s Martini | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anakarina | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Elle | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wisconsin Gal | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tapit Quick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hush It Honey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Southwest S.) – Southwest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buetane | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Soldier N Diplomat | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rancho Santa Fe | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sleepingonfreedom | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’code | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strategic Risk | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silent Tactic | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty National | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reclamation | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Circle Tap | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Baytown Dreamer | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of Royal | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bricklin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Litmus Test | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gewurztraminer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nameless | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Noble Knight | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Spark | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gasoline | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cybertown | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eastside Cool | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Youramystyle | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Money Run | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J T’s Imagination | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D Day Reunion | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montauk Point | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Italian Symphony | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.