Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 7, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bright Note 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Paradise Ridge 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Love Getaway 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Restless Mind 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 C C Fanta C 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ayzee 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Havemercionus 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Sweet Iron 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Hammydown 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Charlie Brahms 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Expect a Guitar 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reaux Day 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Annala 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sultan’s Pride 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Deal Me Trips 1.20 1.2 2-1
6 6 Big Mo 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Dulce Lorefiche 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Make Me a Deal 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Gato Blue 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star Rock Star 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Yockey’s Drivethru 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Starport 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Blame Me Seriously 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Big Nickel 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Asthecoldwindblows 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Aller Vite 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sabi 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Liar’s Poker 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Risk Manager 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Allnight Moonlight 4.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Calibrate 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Write Off Jerry 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mackadoo 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Edgerton 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Great Escape 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Amalfi Drive 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Paris Lily 0.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Amarth 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Conch Fried Rice 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Doudoudouwanadance 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajun Mitole 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Causeway Benny 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Laser Clad 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Jeffrow 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Boss of All Bosses 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Le Monstre Rapide 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Wicked Secret 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Behemah Star 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Kenmore West 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Anonima 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fire Moon 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Union Mist 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Low Key 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Sea To Sky (IRE) 5.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Dawn After Dawn 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sierra November 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 September Magic 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 I’m Mo Joke 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Betty’s Dance 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Something Stronger 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Tempting Eve 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Miss Lonelle 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 She’z the Law 12.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 From Scratch 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Myiyla 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Berlaine 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Slam Diego 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hittin My Stride 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Castle Magic 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Gold Plus 5.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Margoinabubblebath 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Mamba Out 4.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.