Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Personal Jet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bolt’s Treasure | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good News Rocket | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southfork | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joewilly | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arky Road | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Endue | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavens Hound | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | E Money | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Guard | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Down Magic | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blushing Bee | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Amentum | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tartarian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missing Rocks | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Joker | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promissione | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charley Pride | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodspoint | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Phenomenal Dream | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cavanal | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tarps Storm | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Deacon | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skibidi Rizz | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sneaky Feet | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stoke the Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tyler’s Turn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz in Sight | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What’s Up Dog | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Red Machine | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vinno Ronnie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amazing Amanda | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sisters in Town | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s So Coal | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iso Lucky | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ida B | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wrong Shoes | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | N Z Holly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Time for Music | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Four Yarder | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Magical Moon | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Large Risk | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clocker Special | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honey’s to Blame | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six String Prince | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gaming Wizard | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Promises to Dance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt On the Rocks | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Austrian Navy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Demi | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lite It Up Louie | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Arlington | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valhalla Vixen | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Windy Bay | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St. Albans Raid | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dance My Way | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Hill | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Muppet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sombra Dorada | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Robin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joke Maker | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dare Greatly | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cognizant | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Charge Macy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cold Case | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Very Demure | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quality Ami | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Moon (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Caesar | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Powder | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hern | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Doc | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Itsinmyblood | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Outlaw | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamis | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Underhill’s Tab | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pappy’s Revenge | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shan | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Slip Mahoney | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parkway | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (King Cotton S.) – King Cotton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roll On Big Joe | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wendelssohn | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tejano Twist | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Bash | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lips Say Bliss | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Durante | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frost Free | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gold Sweep | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tough Catch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Untamed Moment | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Filly Crystal | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pahoehoe d’Oro | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coaster | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ce La Vi Charli | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Way Or Another | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ozona | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Key to Success | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Pretty Kitty | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delacina | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Music Mistress | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Aberdeen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | You’ll Be Back | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ginger Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rockin the Lane | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Chocolatte | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paroli | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avery County | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whispering Charm | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Praise Paulina | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breaker Wave | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artemis Sparkles | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stevie Kicks | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valeska’s Promise | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | C Note Gia | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B’s Luck | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Slew | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shrimp Cookie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.