Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Breslau | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ravin’s Ransom | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tuskegee Airmen | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twenty Four Mamba | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trust Issues | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forgiving Spirit | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hat Willie | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Justice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yolo | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jalimar | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kat Stormy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paraiba Blue | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A. P. Slingshot | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katerina Ristova | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizallmine | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Igniter | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hong Kong Phooey | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tartabull | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Forty Two | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hedge Ratio | 1.40 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chummers | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Sea Captain | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hagrid’s Flame | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tall Paul | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three B’s | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cut the Cord | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Dragon | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willintoriskitall | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shared Success | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock the Weekend | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | B Provocateur | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Record | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mach Schnell | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoity Moroni | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anyway | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Last Delivery | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Banker | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tampa Storm | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pilot Knob | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charlie Charmer | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aggregation | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lotsa Trouble | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Maven | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackson Heights | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hours in a Day | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Spark | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frizzante | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shipsational | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suerte | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barnstorming | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Felonious | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complex Charlie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marble Hall | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Boy Miah | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into the Light | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Decision | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crude Intentions | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Craic | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lord King | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waveless | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khali Magic | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailaway | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danzit | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mursal | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Lov | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soundbite | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Walk With Me | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reign It In | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Rich | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Runner | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tranquil Sea | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Introubleagain | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Winston D | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solo Street | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Richies Love | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tony Hooks | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tinseltown | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Fridge | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Always Packen | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Moneybags Milton | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Flint Steel | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.