Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mae’s Majesty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Running Faith | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chicka Chick | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alizae | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Art | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Provoker | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reaux Day | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artic Sailor | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kitten Gloves | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miamante | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold the Drama | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double L’s Army | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aye Bay Bay | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unforgetableimelda | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ridearoundsalley | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Andale Muchacha | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Dancer | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Lou | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Hot Girl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dat Hint | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dogwood Blessing | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Annala | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Moon | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Magic | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Norma Run | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kerrigan’s Touch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goldzone | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Race | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saberfight | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chattanooga Crew | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anslie’s Gumdrop | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Dixie Diva | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taken It | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fern Spirit | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pakula | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Intent | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knight’s Valor | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Markadee Mark | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcats’s Meow | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Gamer | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get the Boss | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jamian | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss St. Claire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chapellete | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plum Wine | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Bandit | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Idea | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Vista | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Izzy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World of Hurt | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hint of Promise | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Shipman | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Blu Moon | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Juliet | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunnyday Lightning | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storm After Dark | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Educated Wish | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Fantasy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Cat | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hamlin | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Drinker | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Numero Siete | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hegs | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raising Kane | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Interlude | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charbon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Storm Sniper | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Apriority | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Deelite | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Pistol Magic | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quik Punch | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pasketee | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leisurely | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Elvis | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Longneck | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stable Agent | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Love a Fighter | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.