Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hawija | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duvee | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crigler | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Tequila | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josan | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shawn’s Solving | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | All About Me | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds Joy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zoom Erin | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slushy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chaparrita | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Morning | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Your Life | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Adeau | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highstakes Hustler | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donegal Moonshine | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Liam | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Pistolero | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D Coldest | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Moscato | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Pact | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Niko | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky N Lawless | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Empire | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matching Funds | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brockton | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skip Forward (JPN) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moral Man | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haulin Oats | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | One Tough Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Majestic | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yorktown Panther | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deal of Faith | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Half | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Cadillac | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Josh G | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Ride | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Get Trae | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ramblin | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Connection | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ogilvy (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starmetal | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pay Heed | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Syntagma | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emancipation | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mor Cheese Please | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Key Man | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Standard Deduction | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Campanario | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eccentric Club | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of the Isles (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brock’s Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Contribution | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Faber | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drilling for Gold | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unleash the Power | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | E Lion | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Mischief | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Spun to Run | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldbrick | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To the Chief | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crisis Manager | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | You Belong Here | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cesium | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Mack | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashes in the Ocean | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cash Holiday | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Name the Time | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Bet You Wont | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patek | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Encore | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roadside Banker | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.