Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Airborne Elite | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kismeholdmethrlme | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat On | 0.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solo Empire | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shamateur | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Because the Night | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Bobbie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snide | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast and Frisky | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Higher Force | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Dig | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Sassicaia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arrogarsi | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Dancer | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Save Us Melania | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bam’s Bliss Kiss | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purr Factor | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Magic | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rumint | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Samara | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devils Arrow | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Glory | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heavens Lee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alyvia Mavis | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noguchi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Come to Papa | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Maker | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Down the Line | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Barrie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Musume | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Natural Hunk | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamaica Redd | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Best Impression | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Cool | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Problematica | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Echo in Eternity | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whistler’s Style | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie the Joker | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My First Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Defended | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vibrant Express | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runandscore | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beary Funny | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rollin in Dough | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Factually Correct | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master Freud | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dolly’s Bank | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Braciole | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Givememythememusic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Commander | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taparino | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dialbolico | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo Dancing | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Come Full Circle | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Messi the Magician | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fiscal Drag | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.