Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kayla’s Komet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yaudacity | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Attention | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spare Me | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Niche | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rani | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guanabani | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One More Guitar | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fregata | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trouble Calling | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trombone | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tranquillo | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deep Flame | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Star | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vivo Stavolta | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mojacar | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Time Story | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of Heat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Colonel Power S.) – Colonel Power S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Usually Wrong | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autodrive | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear River | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Deny It | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Built | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mondogetsbuckets | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champlin | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demolition Duke | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gerber Daisy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Island Flower | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nut Bush City | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goodall | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lakota Lady | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Punch | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thesewallshaveears | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fun On the Bayou | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Passion | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Beach | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raspberry | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Core Memories | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocala Gala | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Melody | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Knickie | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charging Ovatime | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Hankerin | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prima Donna | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Family | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sonare | 8.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Callmeyourmajesty | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dreaming of June | 6.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Al Latafah | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kentucky Mule | 8.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Bourbon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Furio | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tough Catch | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frat Pack | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Attache | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honky Tonk Highway | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banned for Life | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bergen | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How’s Ur Attitude | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scat Free | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr McGregor | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fully Volatile | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Quality Spirits | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marauder | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Shot | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Them Roses | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiernanogue | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kelz | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Gun | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Tap | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Entendre | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Seal | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McBridge | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bearister | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Albert M. Stall Memorial S.) – Albert M. Stall Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Treasure | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expensive Queen (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Expectations | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Medoro | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oversubscribed (GB) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Speech | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cupids Crush | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Feather Boa (SAF) | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sophie’s Cruiser | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mineshaft S. Presented By Hagyard) – Mineshaft S. Presented By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Accelerize | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit Show | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadet Corps | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duke of Duval | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Win | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stowaway | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Fair Grounds S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Berti | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lagynos | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gigante | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Montador | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cameo Performance | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sand Pipes | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Idratherbeblessed | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point Proven | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kupuna | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Agate Road | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fasig-tipton Rachel Alexandra S.) – Fasig-tipton Rachel Alexandra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bella Ballerina | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Singing | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Glide | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luv Your Neighbor | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestical | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancin in Old Town | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Powered by Family | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Agrippina | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Fasig-tipton Risen Star S.) – Fasig-tipton Risen Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paladin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Tempo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chip Honcho | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Universe | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carson Street | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Mischief | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courting | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colt Forty Seven | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.