Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nyquist Frequency | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairfield Bay | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Convolution | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Ahead | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Historic | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | World Fair | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Improbability | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Turin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin At Mac | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coal Fired | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tims | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I’ll Miss You | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Princeton | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maxxus | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Cory | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Trick | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Goodtime | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy I Am | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Field Study | 12.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shooter McGavin | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mikestrumpcard | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uncashed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proprietary Trade | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five o’ Somewhere | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet as Sin | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sitka | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzlemesilver | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aaron | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Luna | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Legal Lightning | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ducat | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nyad | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizmatic | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crevalla de Vil | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancewhenyoucan | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yes Julia | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everlasting Lover | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Empath | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rambunctious Rylie | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Compassionista | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lonely Woman | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Twirl | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Inca Empire | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Atlas | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ethical Judgement | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Huge Bigly | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bolt At Midnight | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ember | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Critical Threat | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Exton | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Gunner | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Commerce | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Red Hot | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Strike | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Icarus | 12.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Empire | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Patton’s Tizzy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blessed Vision | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Shake Up | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Socks | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Table Money | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allo Enry | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sthenic | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoppin John | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chupapi Munyayo | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stuck N Snow | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stomping Hotrod | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Partyinthestreets | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Ghost Hero | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Rey Dorado | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sara’s Shaman | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebelious | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notary | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eternally Grateful | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mintastic | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fear of Union | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pats Property | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parkway | 5.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Excel Calculator | 10.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mumayaz | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Own the Field | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sioux Empire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wolf Tooth | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Lovin Man | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Amore | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seventies Music | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bemis | 4.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Arkansas Dave | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arco Thunder | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yancopin | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Humorous Saint | 8.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernardi | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Best Flat Out | 10.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roku Nana | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Balandeen Storm | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dixie Belle S.) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paving | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Miss Curlin | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Revera | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woodstock | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Have Faith | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wakuda | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Friction | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evolution | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Just Bluffing | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glazin’ Fury | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Navajo Warrior | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Vince | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Nights | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Gun | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keen Cat | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Technique | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Otello | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Bias | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Number One Dude | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Archie the Giza | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mitty’s Griddy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Munny | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Fire in My Sul | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Attersee | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pride’s Prince | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Ready | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon’s Fault | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Butch | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higginsville | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Colonel Caliente | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lottery Win | 3.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Two Seven O | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Private | 15.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Aerate | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.