Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 15, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Doppio Espresso 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dolly’s Jolene 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Lucky Lucky Me 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Essence L Vee 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Private Connection 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Holly Ln 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eagle Rising 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Tahila 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Juliet On Approach 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Our Preferred Pal 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Morgana’s Moment 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Neri 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Military Road 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Exploration 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Awesome Empire 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Golden Plate 2.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Brave Blend 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Cocktailsnkringle 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chelonian 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Unlimitedpotential 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Noted 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Mr. Papagiorgio 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Cicciobello 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Power Seeker 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Twenty One Red 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Major Bourbon 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Big Brooklyn 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 You’re Lookin Good 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sonofasonofasailor 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Solomini’s World 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Zip for Rick 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kid Billy 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Good Money 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Complex Music 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Enduring Spirit 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Wake Surf 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Tapizar’s Temper 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Thrill of It 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Serengeti 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Sight to See 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Mitole’s Girl 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bourbon N Lace 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Five to Two 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Danneel 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Autumn’s Turn 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Another Cleeshay 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Dolce Sera 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kyle’s Mom 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Moon Gate 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Ah Ca Ira 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 She’s Complicated 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Toxic Girl 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Gregorian Solo 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Santagata 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Amity Island 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 That’s Funny 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.