Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Diaghilev | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sands of Time | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Work | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flamboyant | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chapter One | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toby’s Honor | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Reputation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Last Straw | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Cory | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Way | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One More Time | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Ice | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cloudy Women | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Facts | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darlin Tami | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newport Dreamz | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | With Love (GB) | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Cove | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coiffeur | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molly Jensen | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Delta Dawn | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morgan’s Bluff | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tiger in My Tank | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jaguar Jon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Drop | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Raging Waters | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dirty Words | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Four O Six Creed | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gypsy Tears | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Joint Venture | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Winds of Freedom | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | One Smokin Dude | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hardtobebetternow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rich Reward | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zagreus | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | High King | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benny’s Puzzle | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shapoval | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star of Delhi | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nineteenth Hole | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wasting Aces | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maul | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Going Nowhere | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stars Hollow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tina’s Princess | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | She’s Back | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Julia Street | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Savannahs Big Girl | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Prancealot | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dustem Too | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Willow in the Wind | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Love Lock | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Originaire | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Southern Riff | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Miss | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Real Lucky in Love | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Samran | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rosa Parks | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Fly | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Another Card | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eiffel | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Cap | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pura Vida Princesa | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Claire Austin | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helga Brandt (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ketonia (FR) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shezmisbehaving | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Bar | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Palos Verdes S.) – Palos Verdes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man O Rose | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pilot Commander | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Listenupshance | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modus Bestia | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Cruisein | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madaket Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Amplitude | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Choochies | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baldoro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zalamo (FR) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On the Whim | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kokosan | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Happy | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catch the Breeze | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | None Above the Law | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T’Challa (GB) | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.