Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Remi | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Band | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alwaysfreaky | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rescue Squad | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Win | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy J | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Notch Protocol | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mister Banderas | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hesper | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starry Eyed | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classical Knight | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Achromedoutcat | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yankeestrolgy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wholelottadeal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Canal Street | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Alexis | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeitsmyluckyday | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pasila | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jus Makes Cents | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Lucky Lady | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Citatus | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Road Trippin | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Customer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Willie | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taterpie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mount Vernon | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swerve | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jarrett | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Li Grand Zombi | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maximum Effort | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fake Smart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Props | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash of Chaos | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twenty Two Black | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Party | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Gray | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Skip | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ontario | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exclusive Star | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sy B | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Threat (IRE) | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Smart | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Channel Check (GB) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Wilhelmina | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Super Stormy | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Nancy S | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sheila’s Lion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Reynita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Law | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abilene | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap to Open | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love and Trust | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Joy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Cross | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Countess | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Jean | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Mardi Gras S.) – Mardi Gras S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lotsandlotsofcandy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Civetta | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Star (CHI) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gavea (GER) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Trouble | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirl Around | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serving Time (GB) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Party Pauline | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Joy | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | A Hint of Scandel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Got the Hint | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Joke | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Von Erich | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dirty Straight Up | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A G’s Charlie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Touch | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Lotta Shance | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bee Aurelius | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fortysvenforthewin | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.