Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 19, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Broadway Lights 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Just Music 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Vino Frizzante 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Cararra 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bobby Jean 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Farm House 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Antonio of Venice 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bourbon Chase 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Chileno 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Disarmed 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gunner Bay 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Radio Red 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Asleep At Eight 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 New York Scrappy 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Apollo Code 1.40 1.2 2-1
2 2 Tiote 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Capt Jax Parrow 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Pandemic Hero 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Joe West 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Fric and Frac 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Master of Arms 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Lucky Dude 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Graywing 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Best Bet 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 More Vino 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Stolen Base 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Run Happy Pappy 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Quiet Wisdom 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Take Me to Londyn 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tammy’s Cruiser 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Spirit of Esther 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Blue Eyed Scout 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Calling an Audible 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mia Nipotina 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 That’sthefactjack 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cara’s Chianti 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Widdershins 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Jay’s Love 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Meg’s Foxy Grey 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Brunch With Amy 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Princess Ny 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Racing Colors 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Looks First 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Saucy Six 30.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Howling Wind 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Burninhunkoflove 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Scoot Daddy 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ten Cent Town 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Great Richie M 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Play 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Shoot the Nickel 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Roar of the Crowd 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Shootersgottashoot 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Superpower 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Egyptian 12.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ambition 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Ambridge 4.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Sequential 3.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 Desperate Proposal 30.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Smallchangegeep 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Resilient Hero 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 McDiesel 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Enduring Angel 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Magnanimous Max 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.