Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 19, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mom’s Hands 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Francesnfriends 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Mary Claire 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Naykesh 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Obstacle Gal 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Little Em 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Krafts Palace 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Battleoflexington 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lil Bro Coop 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 License to Steal 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Penei 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Wayllen Richard 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Silent Rage 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 F T W Slam 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 G’wildcat 4.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Avery’s Gem 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Munnings Catsle 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hawija 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Our Determination 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ampitup 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Young Tuscan 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Calibrate 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Steppin Silver 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Summer in Adriane 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Polar Bear Plunge 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Flamingproposition 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Sponge Bath 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Now and Later 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Bold Discovery 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Bebedouro 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Lucky Romance 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Next Level 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kenmore West 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Proctor Phantom 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Reagan’s Honor 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 You Belong Here 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Vamos Carlitos 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Favorite Day 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Shangrala Road 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mo Town Renee 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Click 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Veracious 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Baby Hello 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Belle of Liberty 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Clawless Brit 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Grazie Prego 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 She’s Tops 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Napping 4.00 6 11-1
8 8 Fixated 5.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Ad Hoc 10.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Trapped 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cultivate 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Corporate Power 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Original Sin 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Bedard 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Conquest Warrior 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Classic Legacy 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Tarantino 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lure Him In 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Scully 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Wayside Drive 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Cypress Gold 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Southscape 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Captivating Star 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Turf Monster 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Flash N Class 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 A Passive Nobody 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Tensas Camp Road 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Dude Drop Kid 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Doolgaroux 15.00 9.8 19-1
6 6 Cajun Moviestar 20.00 11.2 21-1
13 13 Unified Report 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Slick and Fast 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Titanium Deal 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Who Is Chief 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jailhouse Religion 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bourbon Americana 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 American Select 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Promesa Divina 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Gatsby’sgreenlight 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Meg’s Ladybug 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lyla’s Golden Gal 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Speed Skater 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Annabelle B 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.