Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moneta | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bossoftheblock | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shady Valley | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kava | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Baby D | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Menu | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Couru | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deliver Dawn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hap Hot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cape Trafalgar | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Majesty | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ceepeegee | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Optimal Courage | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taillights | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prayforpeace | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Scout | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nabokov | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Premium | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coming Soon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unauthorized | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violence in Red | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biloba | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Circle Me | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hovland | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gun Bolt | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Happy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capital Connection | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ky Do Declare | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good News Rocket | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Guard | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joewilly | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arky Road | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cutting Class | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into Battle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amazing Music | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Flat Out | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Denali Lightning | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Underdressed | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiss Guard | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightster Red | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drum Roll Please | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound of Victory | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hess | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Sanders | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Italian Symphony | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rabbit Hound | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Nora | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sissy Sox | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Army’s Marauder | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fresh Out | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hallowed Hall | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nuts and Bolts | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blondie’sincharge | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Think Twice | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intangible | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hard Circle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eleven Bravo | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Private Show | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bagg O Time | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Wish | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backside | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Ranch | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mitchell’s Joy | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out Flat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Classic Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pokerknightatvees | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Magic | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Run Jalen Run | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Map to the Stars | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Favoritism | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hogie the Player | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ripped | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Gesture | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Royal Bro | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Society | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | City of Angels | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Dax | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Storm | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weaponized | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tyler’s Turn | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Fork | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rebel Moon | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swamp King | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Moon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.