Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Raghba | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trango Tower | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dimensionality | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inefficiency | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ice Shot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antietam | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shellac | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Klimt Master | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr R T | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Restless Renegade | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fever Night | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maldini | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whitby | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Come to Papa | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carlin Contention | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apalta | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Six Kings | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laughing Boy | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat On | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eric From Miami | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nobodyridesforfree | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commandperformance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mitolegayne | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Ducks | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waitin’onasunnyday | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Love | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trapping Hands | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frankie Coffeecake | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Final Joke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coquito | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patty Cakes | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Floge | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My First Love | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Dantz | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Troubled Luck | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Magic | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Rose | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Kidding | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undergrad | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Chance | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Lulu | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sabby Sunset | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifi La Fume | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forgone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senegal | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Kreesa | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | E Z Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toga Dan | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oath of Omerta | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Romeo Void | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.