Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arrow Speed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Redemption | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aztec | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Synchronicity | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob Marco | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jolly by Golly | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Jaunt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dwelling Legacy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquerthosewecan | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Clouds | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | In My Memories | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Impressiveness | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Del Valle | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flying to Work | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Q Got Hops | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Steve | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Brew | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seven’s Eleven | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Cowboy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uniwinner | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cold as Hell | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catahoula Moon | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A G Diamond | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Secret Oaks | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hotmessness | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlene’s Spirit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Storm | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond N Dress | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stroll Trippin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iamdependingonyou | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prado Road | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Davyjonz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Winning Trip | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crab Daddy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pudge Boy Palace | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | James P Sullivan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gluckstadt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cocktail Humor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunflower State | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bond’s Belle | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tierra Santa | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feelin So Lucky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Map to the Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.